Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-09 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-29 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-26 | 2–1 | Villarreal +1 | Villarreal 52% | |
| 2025-08-31 | 1–1 | Draw | Villarreal 40% | |
| 2025-04-23 | 3–0 | Celta Vigo +3 | Villarreal 37% | |
| 2024-08-26 | 4–3 | Villarreal +1 | Villarreal 51% | |
| 2024-05-05 | 3–2 | Celta Vigo +1 | Villarreal 38% | |
| 2023-12-20 | 3–2 | Villarreal +1 | Villarreal 52% | |
| 2023-04-30 | 3–1 | Villarreal +2 | Villarreal 56% | |
| 2023-01-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Villarreal 46% | |
| 2022-03-12 | 1–0 | Villarreal +1 | Villarreal 58% | |
| 2021-11-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Villarreal 40% | |
| 2021-05-09 | 2–4 | Celta Vigo +2 | Villarreal 62% | |
| 2021-01-08 | 0–4 | Villarreal +4 | Villarreal 41% | |
| 2020-06-13 | 0–1 | Villarreal +1 | Celta Vigo 39% | |
| 2019-11-24 | 1–3 | Celta Vigo +2 | Villarreal 55% | |
| 2019-03-30 | 3–2 | Celta Vigo +1 | Villarreal 36% | |
| 2018-12-08 | 2–3 | Celta Vigo +1 | Villarreal 43% | |
| 2018-04-28 | 4–1 | Villarreal +3 | Villarreal 42% | |
| 2017-12-17 | 0–1 | Villarreal +1 | Celta Vigo 43% | |
| 2017-03-12 | 0–1 | Villarreal +1 | Celta Vigo 41% | |
| 2016-10-16 | 5–0 | Villarreal +5 | Villarreal 48% | |
| 2016-03-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Celta Vigo 37% | |
| 2015-10-18 | 1–2 | Celta Vigo +1 | Villarreal 44% | |
| 2015-03-08 | 4–1 | Villarreal +3 | Villarreal 55% | |
| 2014-10-05 | 1–3 | Villarreal +2 | Celta Vigo 44% | |
| 2014-02-15 | 0–2 | Celta Vigo +2 | Villarreal 52% | |
| 2013-09-22 | 0–0 | Draw | Celta Vigo 46% |