Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-07 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-24 | 0–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 48% | |
| 2025-10-04 | 3–1 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 58% | |
| 2025-03-15 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 51% | |
| 2024-10-05 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 68% | |
| 2024-05-19 | 4–4 | Draw | Real Madrid 61% | |
| 2023-12-17 | 4–1 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 73% | |
| 2023-04-08 | 2–3 | Villarreal +1 | Real Madrid 65% | |
| 2023-01-07 | 2–1 | Villarreal +1 | Real Madrid 45% | |
| 2022-02-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Madrid 43% | |
| 2021-09-25 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Madrid 60% | |
| 2021-05-22 | 2–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 57% | |
| 2020-11-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 38% | |
| 2020-07-16 | 2–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 63% | |
| 2019-09-01 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Madrid 42% | |
| 2019-05-05 | 3–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 65% | |
| 2019-01-03 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Madrid 51% | |
| 2018-05-19 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Madrid 59% | |
| 2018-01-13 | 0–1 | Villarreal +1 | Real Madrid 71% | |
| 2017-02-26 | 2–3 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 58% | |
| 2016-09-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 72% | |
| 2016-04-20 | 3–0 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 70% | |
| 2015-12-13 | 1–0 | Villarreal +1 | Real Madrid 58% | |
| 2015-03-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 72% | |
| 2014-09-27 | 0–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 54% | |
| 2014-02-08 | 4–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 76% | |
| 2013-09-14 | 2–2 | Draw | Real Madrid 62% | |
| 2012-03-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 76% | |
| 2011-10-26 | 3–0 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 78% | |
| 2011-05-15 | 1–3 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2011-01-09 | 4–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 63% | |
| 2010-02-21 | 6–2 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 54% |