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← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Barcelona has a 50% chance to win.
Final Score: Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid
Sun, May 11, 2025 · 3:15 PM BST
La Liga
Barcelona
25-4-5Rating 2096
Form: WWWWD
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4 – 3
Model Probability
50%
Draw 26%
24%
La Liga
Real Madrid
23-6-4Rating 2059
Form: WWWWL
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BarcelonaStatReal Madrid
34Games played33
2.7Avg goals scored2.1
1.0Avg goals conceded0.9
74% / 12% / 15%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 18% / 12%
76% Home win % / Away win % 56%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
BarcelonaStatReal Madrid
14All-time wins (30 meetings, 5 draws)11
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
2.0Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2024-10-26): Real Madrid 0–4 Barcelona

Recent Results

Barcelona

@ Valladolid
Sat, May 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
vs Mallorca
Tue, Apr 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Celta Vigo
Sat, Apr 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4–3
@ Leganes
Sat, Apr 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Betis
Sat, Apr 5, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1

Real Madrid

vs Celta Vigo
Sun, May 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3–2
@ Getafe
Wed, Apr 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Ath Bilbao
Sun, Apr 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Alaves
Sun, Apr 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Valencia
Sat, Apr 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2