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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 42% chance to win.
Final Score: Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona
Sun, Oct 26, 2025 · 3:15 PM GMT
La Liga
Real Madrid
8-0-1Rating 2059
Form: WWLWW
2 – 1
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
30%
La Liga
Barcelona
7-1-1Rating 2096
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatBarcelona
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored2.7
1.0Avg goals conceded1.1
89% / 0% / 11%Win / Draw / Loss78% / 11% / 11%
100% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real MadridStatBarcelona
11All-time wins (31 meetings, 5 draws)15
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.5Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2025-05-11): Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid