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← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Alaves vs Real Madrid

Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 53% chance to win.
Final Score: Alaves 1–2 Real Madrid
Sun, Dec 14, 2025 · 8:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Alaves
5-3-7Rating 1832
Form: WLLLW
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1 – 2
Model Probability
22%
Draw 25%
53%
La Liga
Real Madrid
11-3-2Rating 2059
Form: LWDDD
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatReal Madrid
15Games played16
0.9Avg goals scored2.0
1.0Avg goals conceded0.9
33% / 20% / 47%Win / Draw / Loss69% / 19% / 12%
50% Home win % / Away win % 56%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
AlavesStatReal Madrid
2All-time wins (16 meetings, 0 draws)14
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.6Average goals2.6
Last meeting (2025-04-13): Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid

Recent Results

Alaves

vs Real Sociedad
Sat, Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Barcelona
Sat, Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
vs Celta Vigo
Sat, Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
@ Girona
Sat, Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
vs Espanyol
Sun, Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1

Real Madrid

vs Celta Vigo
Sun, Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2
@ Ath Bilbao
Wed, Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
@ Girona
Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
@ Elche
Sun, Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
@ Rayo Vallecano
Sun, Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0