← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Alaves vs Real Madrid
Final Score: Alaves 1–2 Real Madrid
La Liga
Sun, Dec 14, 2025 · 8:00 PM GMT

Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 53% chance to win.

5-3-7 · Rating 1854
Form: WLLLW
VS
11-3-2 · Rating 2014
Form: LWDDD
Model Probability
22%
53%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatReal Madrid
15Games played16
0.9Avg goals scored2.0
1.0Avg goals conceded0.9
33% / 20% / 47%Win / Draw / Loss69% / 19% / 12%
50% Home win % / Away win % 56%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatReal Madrid
2All-time wins (16 meetings, 0 draws)14
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.6Average goals2.6
Last meeting (2025-04-13): Alaves 0–1 Real Madrid