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Atl. Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Win Probability

Barcelona has a 44% chance to win.
Final Score: Atl. Madrid 1–2 Barcelona
Sat, Apr 4, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
La Liga
Atl. Madrid
17-6-6Rating 1960
Form: LWWWW
1 – 2
Model Probability
29%
Draw 27%
44%
La Liga
Barcelona
24-1-4Rating 2096
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Atl. MadridStatBarcelona
29Games played29
1.7Avg goals scored2.7
1.0Avg goals conceded1.0
59% / 21% / 21%Win / Draw / Loss83% / 3% / 14%
87% Home win % / Away win % 64%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Atl. MadridStatBarcelona
4All-time wins (32 meetings, 7 draws)21
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.8Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2025-12-02): Barcelona 3–1 Atl. Madrid