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Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Win Probability

Alaves has a 41% chance to win.
Final Score: Alaves 1–2 Rayo Vallecano
Sat, May 23, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
La Liga
Alaves
11-10-16Rating 1832
Form: WWDLW
1 – 2
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
11-14-12Rating 1816
Form: WDDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatRayo Vallecano
37Games played37
1.2Avg goals scored1.1
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
30% / 27% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 38% / 32%
39% Home win % / Away win % 22%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatRayo Vallecano
3All-time wins (9 meetings, 0 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.8Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-10-26): Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Alaves