La Liga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 3:15 PM BST
Alaves vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Win Probability
Atl. Madrid has a 41% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Atl. Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.8% | 87.9% | 4.1% | <1% |
| If Win | 6.3% | 91.4% | 3.3% | <1% |
| If Draw | 3.7% | 84.5% | 5.8% | <1% |
| If Lose | 2.3% | 79.3% | 7.3% | <1% |
Alaves
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 24.5% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| If Win | <1% | 35.1% | 10.9% | 1.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | 23.1% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 17.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| Alaves | Stat | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games played | 7 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 2.3 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 43% / 29% / 29% | Win / Draw / Loss | 71% / 14% / 14% |
| 75% | Home win % / Away win % | 67% |
| Alaves | Stat | Atl. Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws) | 11 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 2 |
| 0.6 | Average goals | 1.4 |