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La Liga
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM BST

Elche vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Win Probability

Elche has a 44% chance to win.

1-2-4 · Rating 1823
Form: WLDLL
VS
1-4-2 · Rating 1823
Form: WDDDL
Model Probability
44%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Celta Vigo

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%5.5%4.9%16.9%
If Win <1%10.3%5.9%9.3%
If Draw <1%6.0%4.2%15.7%
If Lose <1%4.0%2.5%23.1%

Elche

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.3%3.9%17.9%
If Win <1%9.3%5.4%10.4%
If Draw <1%5.4%3.3%19.9%
If Lose <1%3.5%2.9%25.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ElcheStatCelta Vigo
7Games played7
1.6Avg goals scored1.1
2.4Avg goals conceded0.9
14% / 29% / 57%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 57% / 29%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ElcheStatCelta Vigo
4All-time wins (12 meetings, 2 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.8Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-03): Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche