← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Ath Bilbao vs Real Madrid
La Liga
Sun, Dec 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Ath Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 55% chance to win.

2-2-2 · Rating 1821
Form: DDWWL
VS
5-0-2 · Rating 2014
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
21%
55%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.5%96.0%1.9%<1%
If Win 13.8%97.7%1.3%<1%
If Draw 10.2%95.8%1.7%<1%
If Lose 8.4%93.4%2.6%<1%

Ath Bilbao

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%11.8%7.0%9.1%
If Win <1%19.1%9.2%5.2%
If Draw <1%12.6%6.8%8.1%
If Lose <1%8.8%5.6%12.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Ath BilbaoStatReal Madrid
6Games played7
1.2Avg goals scored2.6
1.0Avg goals conceded1.1
33% / 33% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss71% / 0% / 29%
25% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Ath BilbaoStatReal Madrid
2All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)25
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.6Average goals2.3
Last meeting (2026-05-23): Real Madrid 4–2 Ath Bilbao