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Malaga vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 76% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Jan 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Malaga
0-5-7Rating 1700
Form: LLDLD
vs
Model Probability
9%
Draw 15%
76%
La Liga
Real Madrid
10-0-2Rating 2059
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 28.2%100.0%<1%<1%
If Win 28.0%100.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 20.6%99.9%<1%<1%
If Lose 16.6%99.8%<1%<1%

Malaga

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%88.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%76.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%85.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%89.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MalagaStatReal Madrid
12Games played12
0.8Avg goals scored2.6
1.9Avg goals conceded0.8
0% / 42% / 58%Win / Draw / Loss83% / 0% / 17%
0% Home win % / Away win % 71%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MalagaStatReal Madrid
1All-time wins (19 meetings, 4 draws)14
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.8Average goals2.6
Last meeting (2026-08-30): Real Madrid 4–0 Malaga