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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 3 · Round 1
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Austria vs Israel Prediction & Win Probability

Austria has a 65% chance to win, with a 22% chance of a draw.

Rating 1783 · World #23
Form: LDLWD
VS
Rating 1603 · World #69
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
65%
13%
Draw 22%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น Austria

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand64%23%10%4%
Austria win 73%20%6%1%
Draw 53%26%14%6%
Israel win 36%30%21%12%

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand7%19%30%43%
Austria win 3%17%31%49%
Draw 10%21%30%39%
Israel win 25%26%26%23%

League B ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Austria 0 0 1783 64% 23% 10% 4%
– Ireland 0 0 1673 19% 35% 27% 19%
– Kosovo 0 0 1619 10% 24% 32% 34%
– Israel 0 0 1603 7% 19% 30% 43%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
AustriaStatIsrael
5-2-3Won-Drawn-Lost5-1-4
2.2Avg goals scored2.0
1.2Avg goals conceded2.0
1783Rating1603
#23World rank#69

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
AustriaStatIsrael
2Wins (4 meetings, 0 draws)2
2Last 4 meetings (0 draws)2
2.75Average goals3.0
Last meeting (Fri, Nov 12, 2021, World Cup qualifier): Austria 4–2 Israel

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น Austria

@ Spain
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 12%
0–3
@ Algeria
Sun, Jun 28, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 43%
3–3
@ Argentina
Mon, Jun 22, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 14%
0–2
vs Jordan
Wed, Jun 17, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 47%
3–1
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 69%
1–1

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel

vs Moldova
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 72%
4–1
@ Italy
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
0–3
@ Norway
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 14%
0–5
vs Italy
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 13%
4–5
@ Moldova
Fri, Sep 5, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 61%
4–0