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โ† Home / UEFA Nations League / Matchups / Portugal vs Wales
Final Score: Portugal 1–0 Wales
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 4 · Round 1
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Portugal vs Wales Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Portugal had a 70% chance to win, with a 19% chance of a draw.

Portugal
Rating 1945 · World #7
Form: LWDWD
Next ›
VS
Wales
Rating 1722 · World #38
Form: DWWLW
Next ›
Pre-match probability
70%
11%
Draw 19%

League A ยท Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Norway 1 3 1853 29% 47% 19% 6%
2 Portugal 1 3 1945 63% 26% 9% 1%
3 Denmark 1 0 1825 7% 19% 48% 27%
4 Wales 1 0 1722 1% 8% 24% 66%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 9 internationals in any competition
PortugalStatWales
4-3-2Won-Drawn-Lost5-2-2
2.22Avg goals scored2.44
0.89Avg goals conceded1.33
1945Rating1722
#7World rank#38

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Full head-to-head
PortugalStatWales
2Wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)0
2Last 2 meetings (0 draws)0
1.5Average goals0.0
Last meeting (Thu, Sep 24, 2026, Nations League): Portugal 1–0 Wales

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal

vs Spain
Mon, Jul 6, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 24%
0–1
vs Croatia
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 45%
2–1
@ Colombia
Sat, Jun 27, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 36%
0–0
vs Uzbekistan
Tue, Jun 23, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 68%
5–0
vs D.R. Congo
Wed, Jun 17, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 75%
1–1

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ Wales

vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 59%
1–1
vs North Macedonia
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 54%
7–1
@ Liechtenstein
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 92%
1–0
vs Belgium
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 21%
2–4
@ Kazakhstan
Thu, Sep 4, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 68%
1–0