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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 1 · Round 1
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Albania vs Belarus Prediction & Win Probability

Albania has a 61% chance to win, with a 24% chance of a draw.

Rating 1624 · World #60
Form: LLWWW
VS
Rating 1478 · World #99
Form: DDLLL
Model Probability
61%
15%
Draw 24%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Albania

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand50%35%14%<1%
Albania win 60%34%6%<1%
Draw 40%40%20%<1%
Belarus win 27%33%40%<1%

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Belarus

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand11%24%63%2%
Albania win 5%19%74%2%
Draw 14%28%56%1%
Belarus win 30%37%33%<1%

League C ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Albania 0 0 1624 50% 35% 14% <1%
– Finland 0 0 1595 39% 40% 20% <1%
– Belarus 0 0 1478 11% 24% 63% 2%
– San Marino 0 0 1055 <1% <1% 2% 98%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
AlbaniaStatBelarus
4-2-4Won-Drawn-Lost0-5-5
0.9Avg goals scored0.6
0.9Avg goals conceded2.1
1624Rating1478
#60World rank#99

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
AlbaniaStatBelarus
3Wins (5 meetings, 1 draw)1
3Last 5 meetings (1 draw)1
1.2Average goals0.8
Last meeting (Wed, Nov 18, 2020, Nations League): Albania 3–2 Belarus

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Albania

@ Poland
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
1–2
vs England
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–2
@ Andorra
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 83%
1–0
@ Serbia
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 16%
1–0
vs Latvia
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 71%
1–0

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Belarus

vs Greece
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 13%
0–0
@ Denmark
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 4%
2–2
@ Scotland
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
1–2
vs Denmark
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
0–6
vs Scotland
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 14%
0–2