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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 1 · Round 2
Tue, Sep 29, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Slovenia vs North Macedonia Prediction & Win Probability

Slovenia has a 52% chance to win, with a 27% chance of a draw.

Rating 1685 · World #51
Form: DLDDL
VS
Rating 1602 · World #68
Form: LLDDW
Model Probability
52%
21%
Draw 27%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand9%28%37%26%
Slovenia win 14%35%40%11%
Draw 6%24%37%33%
North Macedonia win 3%15%28%54%

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ North Macedonia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand2%12%28%57%
Slovenia win 1%6%20%72%
Draw 3%13%34%51%
North Macedonia win 6%27%41%26%

League B ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Switzerland 0 0 1865 71% 20% 7% 2%
– Scotland 0 0 1728 17% 40% 28% 15%
– Slovenia 0 0 1685 9% 28% 37% 26%
– North Macedonia 0 0 1602 2% 12% 28% 57%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
SloveniaStatNorth Macedonia
0-7-3Won-Drawn-Lost4-4-2
0.5Avg goals scored1.4
1.3Avg goals conceded1.4
1685Rating1602
#51World rank#68

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SloveniaStatNorth Macedonia
1Wins (5 meetings, 2 draws)2
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.4
Last meeting (Tue, Jun 1, 2021, Friendly): North Macedonia 1–1 Slovenia

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Slovenia

@ Sweden
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 28%
1–1
vs Kosovo
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 55%
0–2
vs Switzerland
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 24%
0–0
@ Kosovo
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 45%
0–0
@ Switzerland
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–3

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ North Macedonia

@ Denmark
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
0–4
@ Wales
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 20%
1–7
vs Kazakhstan
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 66%
1–1
@ Belgium
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
0–0
vs Liechtenstein
Sun, Sep 7, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 91%
5–0