Final Score: Nationals 1 - Phillies 6
Sunday, September 30, 2007 at 1:35 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
73-88 Rating 1471
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
88-73 Rating 1536
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 318 337
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.5
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.1
Win percentage 45% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 57%