Final Score: Phillies 1 - Reds 5
Wednesday, May 20, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
21-16 Rating 1549
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Reds
20-18 Rating 1475
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Reds
All-time wins 180 239
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Reds
Games played 37 38
Avg runs scored 5.7 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.3
Win percentage 57% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 76% 41%