Final Score: Braves 4 - Nationals 1
Friday, September 25, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Braves @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
82-70 Rating 1511
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.9
Nationals
52-100 Rating 1401
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Nationals
All-time wins 286 254
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Nationals
Games played 152 152
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.5
Win percentage 54% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 40%