Final Score: Braves 11 - Nationals 5
Saturday, September 26, 2009 at 1:05 PM ET

Braves @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
83-70 Rating 1512
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.9
Nationals
52-101 Rating 1400
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Nationals
All-time wins 287 254
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Nationals
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.5
Win percentage 54% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 39%