Final Score: Astros 8 - Phillies 2
Monday, September 28, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
72-83 Rating 1480
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
90-65 Rating 1556
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Phillies
All-time wins 225 197
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Phillies
Games played 155 155
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.3
Win percentage 46% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 57%