Final Score: Pirates 4 - Reds 8
Saturday, October 3, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
62-97 Rating 1411
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.9
Reds
76-84 Rating 1470
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Reds
All-time wins 254 296
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Reds
Games played 159 160
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.5
Win percentage 39% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 28% 48%