Final Score: Pirates 3 - Reds 1
Friday, October 2, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
61-97 Rating 1408
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.9
Reds
76-83 Rating 1472
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Reds
All-time wins 253 296
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Reds
Games played 158 159
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.5
Win percentage 39% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 27% 49%