Final Score: Phillies 6 - Rockies 5
Sunday, October 11, 2009 at 10:07 PM ET

Phillies @ Rockies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
94-70 Rating 1550
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Rockies
93-71 Rating 1523
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Rockies
All-time wins 74 62
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.5 4.9
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Rockies
Games played 164 164
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 57% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 63%