Final Score: Marlins 4 - Phillies 3
Saturday, October 3, 2009 at 4:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
86-74 Rating 1513
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Phillies
92-68 Rating 1552
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 125 140
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 5.3
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.4
Win percentage 54% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 56%