Final Score: Marlins 5 - Braves 4
Wednesday, September 30, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Marlins @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
84-74 Rating 1509
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.3
Braves
86-71 Rating 1515
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Braves
All-time wins 120 151
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Braves
Games played 158 157
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.7 3.9
Win percentage 53% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 53%