Final Score: Marlins 7 - Phillies 2
Friday, October 2, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
85-74 Rating 1511
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Phillies
92-67 Rating 1554
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 124 140
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 5.3
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.7 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.4
Win percentage 53% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 56%