Final Score: Astros 5 - Phillies 3
Thursday, October 1, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
73-85 Rating 1479
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
92-66 Rating 1556
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Phillies
All-time wins 226 199
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.1
Last meeting 3 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Phillies
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.3
Win percentage 46% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 57%