Final Score: Rays 3 - Marlins 5
Saturday, May 21, 2011 at 4:10 PM ET

Rays @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
25-20 Rating 1548
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Marlins
25-18 Rating 1507
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Marlins
All-time wins 33 41
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 5.0
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Marlins
Games played 45 43
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.0
Win percentage 56% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 54%