Final Score: Orioles 7 - Red Sox 5
Tuesday, September 20, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Orioles @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
63-90 Rating 1453
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.3
Red Sox
88-66 Rating 1556
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Red Sox
All-time wins 275 361
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 5.0
Last meeting 9 18

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Red Sox
Games played 153 154
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.5
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.5
Win percentage 41% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 57%