Final Score: Orioles 6 - Red Sox 4
Wednesday, September 21, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Orioles @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
64-90 Rating 1455
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.3
Red Sox
88-67 Rating 1553
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Red Sox
All-time wins 276 361
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 5.0
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Red Sox
Games played 154 155
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.5
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.5
Win percentage 42% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 56%