Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Orioles 4
Wednesday, September 28, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
90-71 Rating 1549
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.7
Orioles
68-93 Rating 1461
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 362 278
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 8 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.6 5.3
Win percentage 56% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 48%