Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Orioles 4
Saturday, September 29, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
69-88 Rating 1493
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.6
Orioles
90-67 Rating 1528
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 367 290
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 1 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.4
Win percentage 44% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 57%