Final Score: Astros 3 - Cubs 0
Monday, October 1, 2012 at 8:05 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
53-106 Rating 1386
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.7
Cubs
60-99 Rating 1426
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 306 270
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 3.6 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.7
Win percentage 33% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 23% 47%