Final Score: Astros 3 - Cubs 0
Tuesday, October 2, 2012 at 8:05 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
54-106 Rating 1388
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.6
Cubs
60-100 Rating 1424
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 307 270
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 3 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 3.6 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.7
Win percentage 34% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 24% 47%