Final Score: Phillies 4 - Marlins 5
Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 3:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
82-79 Rating 1493
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Marlins
66-95 Rating 1435
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 261 221
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.3
Win percentage 51% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 51%