Final Score: Guardians 9 - Nationals 10
Tuesday, May 6, 2025 at 3:35 PM ET

Guardians @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
20-14 Rating 1524
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.4
Nationals
16-19 Rating 1456
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Nationals
All-time wins 12 13
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.8 4.4
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Nationals
Games played 34 35
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.1
Win percentage 59% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 56%