Final Score: Phillies 8 - Rays 4
Tuesday, May 6, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
19-15 Rating 1543
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.0
Rays
16-18 Rating 1517
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Rays
All-time wins 22 23
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Rays
Games played 34 34
Avg runs scored 4.7 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.8
Win percentage 56% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 41%