Final Score: Phillies 7 - Rays 6
Thursday, May 8, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
21-15 Rating 1547
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Rays
16-20 Rating 1513
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Rays
All-time wins 24 23
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.5 4.1
Last meeting 7 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Rays
Games played 36 36
Avg runs scored 4.8 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 58% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 38%