Final Score: Marlins 12 - Reds 2
Tuesday, July 8, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
41-48 Rating 1462
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Reds
46-45 Rating 1492
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Reds
All-time wins 105 135
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Reds
Games played 89 91
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.3
Win percentage 46% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 55%