Final Score: Marlins 2 - Reds 7
Wednesday, July 9, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
42-48 Rating 1464
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Reds
46-46 Rating 1490
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Reds
All-time wins 106 135
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 12 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Reds
Games played 90 92
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.3
Win percentage 47% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 53%