Final Score: Royals 12 - Cubs 4
Monday, July 21, 2025 at 8:05 PM ET

Royals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
48-52 Rating 1480
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Cubs
59-40 Rating 1534
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Cubs
All-time wins 16 21
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 3.9
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Cubs
Games played 100 99
Avg runs scored 3.4 5.3
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.0
Win percentage 48% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 65%