Final Score: Mariners 2 - Blue Jays 6
Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 8:03 PM ET
Mariners @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 214 | 230 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 2 |
| Stat | Mariners | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 172 | 171 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 66% |
Recent Results
Mariners
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Oct 17, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Oct 16, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Oct 15, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 17
4-13
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Detroit Tigers
Oct 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Oct 8, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Detroit Tigers
Oct 7, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Detroit Tigers
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Oct 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
Blue Jays
@ Seattle Mariners
Oct 17, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Seattle Mariners
Oct 16, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Seattle Mariners
Oct 15, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 17
13-4
vs Seattle Mariners
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
vs Seattle Mariners
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ New York Yankees
Oct 8, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ New York Yankees
Oct 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs New York Yankees
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 20
13-7
vs New York Yankees
Oct 4, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 17
13-4