Final Score: Cubs 10 - Pirates 4
Wednesday, May 27, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
29-26 Rating 1525
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Pirates
29-26 Rating 1481
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Pirates
All-time wins 460 483
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 1 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Pirates
Games played 55 55
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.3
Win percentage 53% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 54%