Final Score: Pirates 3 - Braves 6
Friday, June 5, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Pirates @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
34-29 Rating 1486
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.9
Braves
42-21 Rating 1543
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Braves
All-time wins 256 277
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Braves
Games played 63 63
Avg runs scored 5.2 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.6 3.5
Win percentage 54% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 63%