Final Score: Pirates 9 - Astros 11
Wednesday, June 3, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
33-28 Rating 1485
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
27-35 Rating 1507
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 287 306
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 10 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 61 62
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.5 5.1
Win percentage 54% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 43%