Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Yankees 3
Friday, June 5, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
26-35 Rating 1506
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.8
Yankees
37-25 Rating 1557
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Yankees
All-time wins 445 472
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.7 4.8
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Yankees
Games played 61 62
Avg runs scored 4.0 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.6
Win percentage 43% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 62%