Final Score: Red Sox 1 - Rays 3
Monday, June 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
27-36 Rating 1506
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.3
Rays
37-25 Rating 1516
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 267 230
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 63 62
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.5
Win percentage 43% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 70%