Final Score: Rays 1 - Marlins 4
Sunday, June 7, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Rays @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
37-24 Rating 1518
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Marlins
30-35 Rating 1478
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Marlins
All-time wins 87 65
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Marlins
Games played 61 65
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.5
Win percentage 61% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 54%