Final Score: Red Sox 9 - Guardians 4
Sunday, May 31, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
24-33 Rating 1506
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.5
Guardians
34-26 Rating 1531
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Guardians
All-time wins 346 295
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.1 4.5
Last meeting 9 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Guardians
Games played 57 60
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.0
Win percentage 42% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 57%