Final Score: Mets 5 - Padres 0
Friday, June 5, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Mets @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
27-35 Rating 1491
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.6
Padres
32-29 Rating 1529
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Padres
All-time wins 262 268
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.9 3.8
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Padres
Games played 62 61
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 44% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 50%